For taxpaying individuals with old regime, NPS sounds like a good option to save some taxes while being able to invest our money for retirement.
But does the 'Income Tax Saving' really help in the long run?
Does Investing more in NPS (as a result of tax saving) actually translate to a bigger Retirement Corpus or better returns?
Firstly, it comes with its own challenges/cons.
- Lockin till retirement, near zero liquidity.
- Only being able to withdraw 60% as lumpsum and 40% in annuity.
- Subject to change in govt policies over next 30 years.
- Having at least 25% invested in bonds.
(The last one is not really a con but since it's a long-term locked investment, going all in on equity for the initial years may not be a bad option.)
The focus of this discussion is investments under section 80CCD.
Calculation:
Assumptions:
- For calculation, I took 50,000 as the yearly investment.
- NPS rate or return: 10%
Mutual Fund return rate: 12%
Reason for assumption: Atleast 25% of our NPS Corpus is invested in bonds which would slightly lower the effective return.
Most online articles and videos also make the same assumption.
- Tax Slab: 30%
- I've used Excel FV Final Value function for this example, but other SIP/investment calculators also gave similar results.
View attachment 44507
Conclusion:
- The Final corpus value of Mutual Funds was 4 Lakh more than NPS.
- After 10% LTCG deduction, the in-hand value of MF is 4.5L short of the Total NPS Value.
(The difference would be Zero if MF gave just 0.5% more returns)
- Even though NPS seems to be at par, we can only access 60% of it, which is 28L less than MF after tax.
- Annuity is really confusing. For 32L invested, HDFC NPS Pension calculator shows 19k per month. The value of which would be far less 30 years from now.
Even though 30% upfront tax saving sounds attractive,
the actual effect on the total corpus is minimal.
Plus, there's almost zero liquidity. A big part of our expenses, like buying a house, marriage, child education, and emergencies happen before 60.
There can be an argument of 'peace of mind', having a 'retirement corpus' etc. But a responsible investor would be able to achieve it even without the lockin period.
Judging from real monetary impact, I don't see a lot of benefits investing in NPS. The investment is 'just as good' as paying taxes directly investing in Mutual Funds, and comes with far more restrictions.
What are your views on NPS?
Would you like to suggest any changes in the calculation methodology?