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Nifty Breakdown below 23500

This Is Fine GIF
 
For those who started investing in equity this is the best time. Keep buying N50, N100 or NLM250 index funds as and when possible throughout the down fall in 2025 and till nifty reaches 25k. Once nifty starts going up, there is no looking back. Redeem everything when it reaches 30k.
25k on Nifty will come back in 2028 now. 🙂 We are in bear market which has started its coarse. Go and read market data between 2004-2017 and you will understand.
 
25k on Nifty will come back in 2028 now. 🙂 We are in bear market which has started its coarse. Go and read market data between 2004-2017 and you will understand.
we need a penalty for contra predictions and bets otherwise it is always best to just predict the outrageous in the off-chance that you are right and look like a hero 🙂

Are you willing to bet 10k on this? I am willing to take this bet that nifty will hit 25k before 2028
 
I had plotted the below , just for fun about 2 months ago..
but unfoturnately it is truning out to be half true as of now..... lets see what happens..

1738153250158.webp


1738153347685.webp
 
I had plotted the below , just for fun about 2 months ago..
but unfoturnately it is truning out to be half true as of now..... lets see what happens..

View attachment 82123
20K will come by mid-March itself. There is an over-valuation factor of 3.7 currently in markets and normally it remains in range of 2 to 2.5. So this extra will fizzle out soon before the so called intelligent Gen Z and others will know. I go by history which is repeating itself in Indian markets.
 
20K will come by mid-March itself. There is an over-valuation factor of 3.7 currently in markets and normally it remains in range of 2 to 2.5. So this extra will fizzle out soon before the so called intelligent Gen Z and others will now. I go by history which is repeating itself in Indian markets.
I plotted the above considering the long term trend.. my reason for that plot was, it went too far too fast between April 2023 and Sep 2024..
It has to adjust to the long term trend and hence the above ..
There is a possibility to touch somewhere around 19K to 20K sometime this year.. there is a real possibility about this to happen.
. having said that it may still not happen.. we dont know .. we have to obey the market.. and go along with it ... no-one can predict the future.. but we can take the view with open mind to consider both the best case and worst case and just go with the flow..

According to me, these two can never be predicted 100%,
1) What is there in a Girl's mind.
2) how market is going to react... 😉
 
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I plotted the above considering the long term trend.. my reason for that plot was, it went too far too fast between April 2023 and Sep 2024..
It has to adjust to the long term trend and hence the above ..
Exactly. When markets started moving above 22.5K it entered inappropriate valuation and I kept my view. Asked everyone around me to take exit in Jul-Sep but only few listened and lost out 25-50% of their profits with just 10-12% correction. Midcaps and Smallcaps just did what they are notorious for. Unrealistic gain followed by dumping of stock by those whop pumped them.
 
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What I was saying is - bear market is the best time for anyone to accumulate. Keep buying all the way down for the next 2-3 years. Just plain index funds will do. And see back after 2030. You get good returns.
Yes, preception always depends upon timeframe..

Time is a very key element in the Market and among market participants..
 
What I was saying is - bear market is the best time for anyone to accumulate. Keep buying all the way down for the next 2-3 years. Just plain index funds will do. And see back after 2030. You get good returns.
This seems good when you have surplus money. In time of need mostly you end up with either low return or no return in markets. This strategy can be followed only when you don't need that investment for next 10 years. Buying the dips and more dips don't always pays off if markets remain stagnant for longer period like between 2010-2017.
 
This seems good when you have surplus money. In time of need mostly you end up with either low return or no return in markets. This strategy can be followed only when you don't need that investment for next 10 years. Buying the dips and more dips don't always pays off if markets remain stagnant for longer period like between 2010-2017.
I dont recommend investing in equity for a horizon of less than 10 years but I am one of those lazy long term investors who buys blue chips and forgets for 10-15 years ...for >10 yrs equity is 'not risky' (taking inflation in account)
 
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