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Nifty - Good time to enter(22k) or stay away...

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desiviru said:
Markets rarely give such opportunities in too short time. Thanks to market manipulators like Trump who knows his words affects it and misusing his power.

Now sell your position with even more conviction and gain. Take the money and keep it in secure asset for next 2-3 years. Come back again and start gradually when you see below 17000 at Nifty.

Just like you can't buy all at once and follow staggered approach. Do same while selling. Like I started selling in 2023 and kept of selling till I decided last year to finally come out. Now even if I enter I have same thing at 40-60% lower prices (although tomorrow it will remain 30%-50% due to cyclical effect).
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any solid reason for nifty to come below 17k?
 
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Arnal07 said:
any solid reason for nifty to come below 17k?
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Political turnarounds in India in next 15-18 months. Lower GDP forecast. Lower exports. Environmental issues due to increases temperatures. Food inflation and list is long. Just go out and check the ground reality than what media portrays India as. You will see we are living under illusioin about out country.
 
sunit123 said:
fair valuation is 10k....12 month forward earning ratio is >40 which means companies earnings are not matching with stock price....Gubbara zaroor phatega
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Index will get manipulated while stocks will have their real valuations. Midcap and Small cap are overvalued by a factor of 1.8 so expect 30% correction in them in next 12-24 mnths. Sabka number aayega.
 
Avatar Aang said:
IMO exiting the market completely isn't a good idea. I am a begginner and I have done panic selling just to see the stocks double triple after the exit. I have learnt that if I consider a company worth investing I'll not exit 100%. Ideally be 20-30% invested in this scenario and buy the dips.
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I am not of opinion that one should stay away from markets. But you should always try to time your entry and wait for lower prices always. Your research regarding your stock should not be based on what index is doing or what sentiment is. People says so and so level will not come in so and so stock but stocks always get beaten down and if you believe it is beaten for wrong reason that's where you put your money in.

The thing that happened with you happens with everybody. Never regret. What if it had came 50% down when you sold it? You maybe thnaking instead of regreting. So this goes on.
 
desiviru said:
Political turnarounds in India in next 15-18 months. Lower GDP forecast. Lower exports. Environmental issues due to increases temperatures. Food inflation and list is long. Just go out and check the ground reality than what media portrays India as. You will see we are living under illusioin about out country.
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What do you mean by political turnaround? any country you think not facing those issues you told here?
 
sunit123 said:
fair valuation is 10k....12 month forward earning ratio is >40 which means companies earnings are not matching with stock price....Gubbara zaroor phatega
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m.economictimes.com

Nifty valuations at multi-year lows, can fall further in worst-case scenario: Ventura

Nifty50s forward P/E ratio has dropped to multi-year lows amid a market selloff, with 2025 and 2026 valuations at 18.5x and 16.2x. Ventura warns of further downside, citing global headwinds, FII outflows, and liquidity constraints. Possible corrections could push Nifty to 14,357 in an extreme...
m.economictimes.com m.economictimes.com

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.th...verage-motilal-oswal/article69178479.ece/amp/
Can you show how did you calculate 12 month forward pe of nifty?
 
cardio_guy said:
US markets are falling today? All gains of yesterday are gone today.
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Because investors/traders are wise there and they are following sell on rise strategy as I am suggesting here to use every positive as an opportunity to sell if you didn't between 25K-26.3K and come back below 20K with say 10% investment on every low you see. No matter how much optimistic you are, when tides are high you can't enter ocean thinking after my entry tide will go down. That is pure gamble. When situation is not in favor, you better wait for tide to go down.

Some people here are of opinion that those who take risk make big. Right, but anything against vanishes them completely with nothing left in hands.

As someone quoted, "Investors in stock markets are those traders who couldn't get out in time and wait for their prices."

Docomo came in India with long term strategy and lost big with Tata. So no strategy in markets can be defined as good strategy. The only strategy is when you are making profit for whatever reason take it and say goodbye.

Traders who lose their money generally become investors with a long term view. A real investor gets out of market when they see 20% return whether comes in 3 days or months or years.
 
desiviru said:
Traders who lose their money generally become investors with a long term view. A real investor gets out of market when they see 20% return whether comes in 3 days or months or years.
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Thanks. Your views are valid. I am talking from a long term investment perspective, not trading at all.
It is/was/always has been foolish to invest at 26k (for that matter anything above 24k) because we all know that this is pure fizz.
Market is overvalued above 24k. But considering that, 22k seems a bit better, not the best.
Like you told, it may go to 19k or 17k but we cannot exactly catch at the lowest moment.
That's why people start adding at 22k and downwards.
Or else, we should invest in safe instruments and wait till 19k but cannot surely tell if it will come or not.
(It's like we may need to wait for 5-6 years. and very less people have that patience.)
 
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